Tuesday, July 27, 2010

15 Prediction of China 3G


To hear the meeting, and I scrambled under the fun, do a few small prediction:

1,2010 formation of China's mobile communication market, the real effective competition structure

Telecom, Netcom does not need any 3G licenses, the license requires that the mobile communications, mobile communications market is not fixed to seize the disputed fact, they both want is access to mobile communications, but how restructuring, China Mobile communications service provider market providers are expected to reach 3 or more, to create a good mobile communications market competition.

2, moving in three years, or boss, Shui Yebie wanted to rob the place

Moving ahead, Unicom to blame is obvious. While the competitive landscape will change, but moving the boss's position in 3 years do not want to go shake everyone, as long as you touch few more big operators who do a comparison you will know.

3, td is a pit, but this hole will be filled

It looks td will move to play, and this so-called "National Industry", "intellectual property" concept is a big incentive. td really is a pit, you look to blame the Tang you understand, but this hole will be filled, that is, more slowly, the state is really made up his mind, and you should not doubt, and out of Datang, we td the pit, there is movement, ZTE and Huawei to fill these Clear the Air's.

4,3 G really does not profit in 5 years

Out in the combined statements of financial practices like. Why? Mobile communications competing health factors - the signal coverage to buy 3g operators get the last 2 years, not to mention the difficulty of competition for quality customers, especially in the high prevalence of large and medium cities. You look at the development process of China Unicom CDMA will be more clear.

5, mobile video, mobile positioning, mobile payments business, though sometimes people 3g attention, but in 3,4 years are insufficient to support the 3G, that is the proportion of total income does not exceed 20%

6,2 years, mobile voice disguised price is lower than fixed, three years after a long-distance and local telephone prices, roaming not money

7, dual-mode handsets popular, but more than 99% are carriers sent

8,2010 own-brand handsets in China to win turnaround, the market share of 70%

9,2011 mobile professional in the traditional chain of distribution channels, all dead, with its extensive carrier channel coverage, access to the area of distribution, selling mobile phones, game cards, QQ dolls, and even computers, television, etc.

10, mobile operators out of the general low-level sp, sp reduced number of mobile operators, content providers, technology service providers

11, by the Ministry of Information Industry and Ministry of Science and pressure, mobile operators, opening in 2010, mobile Internet access, mobile Internet operators in China booming, the scale of 2015, revenue beyond the traditional Internet, the traditional Internet became Mobile Internet migrant workers

12,2011 in wimax official business, cut into the mobile communications field, a lot of memories of his SB in 3G had all the reasons against the

13,2012 in private enterprise off the virtual operators coat, formally announced in a few medium-sized cities to enter the field of mobile communications, while waiting eagerly for the foreign-funded enterprises, can not find the feeling of always being the acquisition of private mobile operators brewing

14,2010 to go abroad on official td into the friendly area of China in Africa

15,2012, the whiskers of Tan Chenhui board the Shanghai Stock Exchange, declared the Chinese concept of wireless intelligent aggregation portal officially listed first unit






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